UMich sentiment prelim: how futures reacted
Latest check: 2026-10-13. Verify figures and dates on the agency's site.
What it is
The preliminary Index of Consumer Sentiment summarizes household views of current conditions and expectations and is produced by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. It is released monthly, usually at 10:00 ET; the official release archive and schedule are at https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/survey.php.
Published by University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
When it comes out
- Usual time: 10:00 ET
- How often: monthly
- Next scheduled dates: Fri, Nov 6, 2026; Fri, Dec 11, 2026
- Official schedule: data.sca.isr.umich.edu/survey.php
Past releases
| Date | Actual | Prior | Nasdaq (MNQ) | S&P 500 (MES) | Gold (MGC) | Crude (MCL) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | |||
| 2026-10-09 10:00 ET | 46.3 index | 48.1 index | -11.00 -0.04% | +22.50 +0.07% | +45.25 +0.15% | -4.25 -0.05% | +5.25 +0.07% | +13.25 +0.17% | -4.5 -0.11% | -6.2 -0.15% | -8.2 -0.19% | -0.01 -0.01% | -0.30 -0.33% | +0.29 +0.32% |
| 2026-09-11 10:00 ET | 47.8 index | 51.7 index | -79.50 -0.27% | -21.00 -0.07% | -101.50 -0.34% | -9.00 -0.12% | -6.25 -0.08% | -24.00 -0.31% | -11.4 -0.26% | -27.0 -0.61% | -31.3 -0.70% | -0.15 -0.15% | +0.57 +0.58% | +0.53 +0.53% |
| 2026-08-14 10:00 ET | 51 index | 55.2 index | No data | |||||||||||
Moves are in index or price points from the price at the release time, with the percentage underneath. Markets: Nasdaq (MNQ), S&P 500 (MES), Gold (MGC), Crude (MCL). Actual and prior are first-print values in index.
Typical reaction
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-09-11, Nasdaq (MNQ)'s median 30-minute move was 21.75 points (0.07%). It was up 30 minutes later in 1 of 2.
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-09-11, S&P 500 (MES)'s median 30-minute move was 5.75 points (0.08%). It was up 30 minutes later in 1 of 2.
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-09-11, Gold (MGC)'s median 30-minute move was 16.6 points (0.38%). It was up 30 minutes later in 0 of 2.
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-09-11, Crude (MCL)'s median 30-minute move was 0.43 points (0.45%). It was up 30 minutes later in 1 of 2.
| Market | Releases with data | Median absolute 30-min move | Higher | Lower |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq (MNQ) | 2 | 21.75 pts (0.07%) | 1 (50%) | 1 (50%) |
| S&P 500 (MES) | 2 | 5.75 pts (0.08%) | 1 (50%) | 1 (50%) |
| Gold (MGC) | 2 | 16.6 pts (0.38%) | 0 (0%) | 2 (100%) |
| Crude (MCL) | 2 | 0.43 pts (0.45%) | 1 (50%) | 1 (50%) |
Computed only from our own one-minute prices, measured from the price at the release time. Small samples describe what happened; they do not describe what will happen.
Sources
- August 2026 preliminary results - checked 2026-10-13
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/fetchdoc.php?docid=81740 - University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers results - checked 2026-10-13
https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/ - Surveys of Consumers release archive - checked 2026-10-13
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/survey.php